Market Effects of Midterm Elections | Sheaff Brock Perspective

Market Effects of Midterm Elections

“A quick look at historical performance shows that stocks often see rough sledding in the September of years that feature midterm elections,” MarketWatch comments, adding that it was not “clear that the midterm congressional elections on Nov. 6 … would be enough to derail the bull market.” One thing that has characterized midterm seasons, Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath notes, is greater stock price volatility. In fact, he notes, midterm years have been more volatile than the average. The [...]

Late-Year Investing | Sheaff Brock Perspectives

Important Things to Keep in Mind for Late-Year Investing

Not for naught has September been dubbed “the banana peel month” and October the “jinx month” for investors, Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath observes wryly—some of the largest “slip and fall” and “crash” incidents seem to relate to late-year investing. To be sure, the worst September ever for the S&P 500 (a 30% drop) happened a long time ago. Still, with six more September investing drops since then, the month of September has the dubious distinction of having surpassed [...]

Sheaff Brock | S&P 500 is a measuring stick of the 500 largest US corporations

Please Welcome to the Stage…the Standard & Poor’s Index!

It’s a measuring stick, a benchmark, a way to discuss our investment markets. But what, exactly, does it DO? The S&P 500 index measures the value of the stock of the country’s 500 largest corporations listed on the New York Stock Exchange or on the Nasdaq Composite. The idea? To provide investors a quick look at the stock market and the economy. And, while many investors first check the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 index is the [...]

Geopolitical Risk | Map of the World | Sheaff Brock

Geopolitical Risks One Factor in Investors’ “Wall of Worry”

“While a ‘wall of worry’ may sometimes consist of a single economic, political or geopolitical issue significant enough to affect consumer and investor sentiment, it more commonly comprises concerns on numerous fronts,” Investopedia explains. “The markets’ ability to climb a wall of worry reflects investor confidence that these issues will be resolved at some point.” Of course, “even when the financial markets are growing at a healthy rate, under financially sound circumstances, investors always find reasons to worry,” Investopedia [...]

REITs | Bricks in the Wall of Worry? | Sheaff Brock

Real Estate Investment Trust Valuations—Bricks in the Wall of Worry?

The “Wall of Worry,” an informal expression used in financial jargon since the 1950s, refers to a market uptrend that occurs when there is significant uncertainly about stock price sustainability. But what about REITS? Are these stock/real estate hybrids bricks in the “Wall” as well? “Long before investors fell in love with Facebook and Amazon.com or even the hot stocks of past generations such as utilities and railroads, real estate inspired dreams of wealth,” writes John Coumarianos. “Some financial advisers and pundits helped [...]

Tariffs, trade wars, and Impact on Global Issues | Sheaff Brock

Trade Imbalances Won’t Warrant Climbing a Wall of Worry

Everybody appears to be talking about trade wars, says CNBC’s Elizabeth Schultz. But trade wars are nothing new, she reminds viewers as she interviews International Monetary Fund historian and Princeton professor Harold James. After a period beginning with the Smoot Hawley Act in 1930, continuing through the “chicken wars” in the 1960s and trade disputes with Japan in the 1980s, there ensued several trade war-free decades. Now, with President Trump’s announcements of tariffs and a 25% levy on imports [...]

Midterm Elections and the Market | Sheaff Brock

Midterm Elections and the Market

Concerned about possible effects of the political scene on the stock market, investors are eying the upcoming 2018 midterm elections with some caution. In fact, Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath pointed out in a recent Knowledge Builder presentation, midterm elections have been inflection points for equity markets in the past regardless of which party won or lost! Source: Strategas Research
 True, there has always been a correction during a midterm year, but the interesting thing, Gilreath notes, is that the [...]

Graphic depiction of the Yield Curve | Sheaff Brock

What’s All This About the Yield Curve?

“The yield curve is not indicating a recession,” the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center concluded. True, interest rates have begun to inch up, “flattening” the curve. Still, as Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath explains in April’s Knowledge Builder webinar, rates do not appear to be heading towards an “inverted yield curve” (in which short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, a situation that historically has come before a recession). According to Strategas Research, rates “should still be upward [...]

Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors | Climbing the Wall of Worry about Interest Rates | Rock Climber

Are Investors Climbing a “Wall of Worry” About Interest Rates?

“So, as has been the case during most of the bouts of nervousness in recent years, there is no shortage of things to worry about,” writes the Calafia Beach Pundit, in answer to a question about the proverbial “Wall of Worry,” admitting that every significant decline in stock prices in recent years has coincided with a spike in market nervousness. To date, however, the author points out, all the current "panic attacks" have proven to be unfounded; the economy [...]

Price Earnings Ratios as gumball machine | Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors

The P/E Might Well Prove Mightier than the Pessimism

The price earnings ratio, known as the p/e ratio for short, is a useful way to evaluate the attractiveness of a company's stock price compared to its current earnings per share. If a company is reporting earnings per share of $2, and the stock is selling for $20 per share, the p/e ratio is 10. “One potential way to know when a sector or industry is overpriced is when the average p/e ratio of all of the companies in that [...]