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REITs | Bricks in the Wall of Worry? | Sheaff Brock

Real Estate Investment Trust Valuations—Bricks in the Wall of Worry?

The “Wall of Worry,” an informal expression used in financial jargon since the 1950s, refers to a market uptrend that occurs when there is significant uncertainly about stock price sustainability. But what about REITS? Are these stock/real estate hybrids bricks in the “Wall” as well? “Long before investors fell in love with Facebook and Amazon.com or even the hot stocks of past generations such as utilities and railroads, real estate inspired dreams of wealth,” writes John Coumarianos. “Some financial advisers and pundits helped [...]

Tariffs, trade wars, and Impact on Global Issues | Sheaff Brock

Trade Imbalances Won’t Warrant Climbing a Wall of Worry

Everybody appears to be talking about trade wars, says CNBC’s Elizabeth Schultz. But trade wars are nothing new, she reminds viewers as she interviews International Monetary Fund historian and Princeton professor Harold James. After a period beginning with the Smoot Hawley Act in 1930, continuing through the “chicken wars” in the 1960s and trade disputes with Japan in the 1980s, there ensued several trade war-free decades. Now, with President Trump’s announcements of tariffs and a 25% levy on imports [...]

Graphic depiction of the Yield Curve | Sheaff Brock

What’s All This About the Yield Curve?

“The yield curve is not indicating a recession,” the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center concluded. True, interest rates have begun to inch up, “flattening” the curve. Still, as Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath explains in April’s Knowledge Builder webinar, rates do not appear to be heading towards an “inverted yield curve” (in which short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, a situation that historically has come before a recession). According to Strategas Research, rates “should still be upward [...]

Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors | Climbing the Wall of Worry about Interest Rates | Rock Climber

Are Investors Climbing a “Wall of Worry” About Interest Rates?

“So, as has been the case during most of the bouts of nervousness in recent years, there is no shortage of things to worry about,” writes the Calafia Beach Pundit, in answer to a question about the proverbial “Wall of Worry,” admitting that every significant decline in stock prices in recent years has coincided with a spike in market nervousness. To date, however, the author points out, all the current "panic attacks" have proven to be unfounded; the economy [...]

Price Earnings Ratios as gumball machine | Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors

The P/E Might Well Prove Mightier than the Pessimism

The price earnings ratio, known as the p/e ratio for short, is a useful way to evaluate the attractiveness of a company's stock price compared to its current earnings per share. If a company is reporting earnings per share of $2, and the stock is selling for $20 per share, the p/e ratio is 10. “One potential way to know when a sector or industry is overpriced is when the average p/e ratio of all of the companies in that [...]

Sheaff Brock | Economic indicators looking up | thumbs up

Following the Lead—Economic Indicators Point Upwards

The economy, like the scenery on a car trip, can be viewed through the windshield, the rearview mirror, or the side window, Investopedia explains. Leading indicators are pieces of data which economists see as they look through “the windshield” at the economy, using those indicators to help predict the future direction of the markets. Examples of economic indicators include: current stock prices stock futures bond and mortgage interest rates the yield curve foreign exchange rates commodity prices (gold, grains, oil, [...]

Sheaff Brock | Market Volatility in End-of-Day Trading Volume

At the End of the Day, Market Volatility Happens at the End of the Day

Bet you didn’t know this startling statistic—26% of all stock market trades are done at the very end of the trading day! How does that relate to the market volatility fear reaction that many investors are experiencing these days? Take a closer look. In just the first quarter of 2018, there have been four times as many days with a greater than 1% price move as there were in all of 2017. When weaker job statistics, political scandals, and scuttlebutt [...]

Sheaff Brock | Market Volatility's Fear Factor with Boy Hiding in Bed

To Measure Market Volatility, You Oughta Meet VIX

Meet VIX, the ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index. The VIX, constructed using a wide range of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index options, is a way to express the market’s expectations of volatility over the coming 30 days. What is actually measured by the VIX is the ratio of put options versus call options being bought on the S&P 500. By way of background, the CBOE Volatility Index, originally developed back in 1986, was designed to [...]

Sheaff Brock | Stock Market Volatility as a Sheep in Wolf's Clothing

Market Volatility—A Sheep in Wolf’s Clothing?

“The market is as much about sentiment and psychology as it is earnings and profits,” Avi Salzman stated in Barron’s. As Salzman observed the “tit-for-tat proposals” of tariffs between China and the U.S., he realized that the fear factor was going up regarding a potential trade war. Meanwhile, stocks were also being rattled by an anemic jobs report. Salzman is reminded, he says, of “the importance of perception versus what is reality.” No tariffs have actually been approved or [...]

Sheaff Brock Preferred Stock portfolio | question marks about rising interest rates

Preferred Stock—Expect the Question; Consider the Answer

The unrelenting search for reliable investment income is an important theme in retired clients’ investment plans, and preferred securities certainly share the limelight. What’s more, given the current buzz about the new tax law, it’s hard to ignore the fact that certain features of the law can favor investing in preferred stock, potentially increasing the demand for high-income investment vehicles. The question: As you’re discussing this very topic at the tennis club, expect the question: Interest rates are on the rise. By [...]