Tag - recession

Sheaff Brock reviews, Democrat control of Congress, impact on stock market

The Direction of the Market—Debunking Popular Beliefs

It might seem the stuff of a Ripley’s Believe It or Not episode, but, over the past more than 70 years, both the stock market and the economy performed better under Democratic presidents than under Republican leadership. The score for the S&P 500? As Markets Insider chronicles, 10.8% to 5.6% in favor of Democrats.  Oh, well, you might counter. The Great Recession and COVID-19, both of which occurred under Republican presidents, skewed the average downward for the Red team. Sorry, [...]

Street Sign of Worst and Best | Double Decade Stock Market | Sheaff Brock

Believe It or Not — Stellar 2019 Ends Second-Worst Double Decade in History

“For investors, the past decade was a marvelous run, but that tells only half the story,” Ben Carlson writes in Fortune. Not only were the 2010s the first decade since 1850 that the U.S. did not experience a single recession, the stock market has hit more than 200 new all-time highs on the S&P this decade alone. A chapter in Chip and Dan Heath’s book, The Power of Moments, offers a valuable perspective. Research has found, the authors note, that [...]

Graphic depiction of the Yield Curve | Sheaff Brock

What’s All This About the Yield Curve?

“The yield curve is not indicating a recession,” the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center concluded. True, interest rates have begun to inch up, “flattening” the curve. Still, as Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath explains in April’s Knowledge Builder webinar, rates do not appear to be heading towards an “inverted yield curve” (in which short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, a situation that historically has come before a recession). According to Strategas Research, rates “should still be upward [...]

stock market drop and market correction | Sheaff Brock

Just How “Unprecedented” is This Drop? Just How Scared Should I Be?

“Dow plunges 1,033 points and sinks into correction,” the money.cnn.com headline practically jumped off your computer screen February 8th. Now what? you wonder. Yes, the pundits have been saying for some time now that a correction was overdue, that we investors have been waxing complacent, and that what goes up must eventually come down. Is this the beginning of The End? Whoa….When it comes to stock market corrections, the word “unprecedented” is simply incorrect when it comes to describing the [...]