Tag - Sheaff Brock Managing Director David Gilreath

Street Sign of Worst and Best | Double Decade Stock Market | Sheaff Brock

Believe It or Not — Stellar 2019 Ends Second-Worst Double Decade in History

“For investors, the past decade was a marvelous run, but that tells only half the story,” Ben Carlson writes in Fortune. Not only were the 2010s the first decade since 1850 that the U.S. did not experience a single recession, the stock market has hit more than 200 new all-time highs on the S&P this decade alone. A chapter in Chip and Dan Heath’s book, The Power of Moments, offers a valuable perspective. Research has found, the authors note, that [...]

Geopolitical Risk | Map of the World | Sheaff Brock

Geopolitical Risks One Factor in Investors’ “Wall of Worry”

“While a ‘wall of worry’ may sometimes consist of a single economic, political or geopolitical issue significant enough to affect consumer and investor sentiment, it more commonly comprises concerns on numerous fronts,” Investopedia explains. “The markets’ ability to climb a wall of worry reflects investor confidence that these issues will be resolved at some point.” Of course, “even when the financial markets are growing at a healthy rate, under financially sound circumstances, investors always find reasons to worry,” Investopedia [...]

Tariffs, trade wars, and Impact on Global Issues | Sheaff Brock

Trade Imbalances Won’t Warrant Climbing a Wall of Worry

Everybody appears to be talking about trade wars, says CNBC’s Elizabeth Schultz. But trade wars are nothing new, she reminds viewers as she interviews International Monetary Fund historian and Princeton professor Harold James. After a period beginning with the Smoot Hawley Act in 1930, continuing through the “chicken wars” in the 1960s and trade disputes with Japan in the 1980s, there ensued several trade war-free decades. Now, with President Trump’s announcements of tariffs and a 25% levy on imports [...]

Midterm Elections and the Market | Sheaff Brock

Midterm Elections and the Market

Concerned about possible effects of the political scene on the stock market, investors are eying the upcoming 2018 midterm elections with some caution. In fact, Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath pointed out in a recent Knowledge Builder presentation, midterm elections have been inflection points for equity markets in the past regardless of which party won or lost! Source: Strategas Research
 True, there has always been a correction during a midterm year, but the interesting thing, Gilreath notes, is that the [...]

Graphic depiction of the Yield Curve | Sheaff Brock

What’s All This About the Yield Curve?

“The yield curve is not indicating a recession,” the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center concluded. True, interest rates have begun to inch up, “flattening” the curve. Still, as Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath explains in April’s Knowledge Builder webinar, rates do not appear to be heading towards an “inverted yield curve” (in which short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, a situation that historically has come before a recession). According to Strategas Research, rates “should still be upward [...]

Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors | Climbing the Wall of Worry about Interest Rates | Rock Climber

Are Investors Climbing a “Wall of Worry” About Interest Rates?

“So, as has been the case during most of the bouts of nervousness in recent years, there is no shortage of things to worry about,” writes the Calafia Beach Pundit, in answer to a question about the proverbial “Wall of Worry,” admitting that every significant decline in stock prices in recent years has coincided with a spike in market nervousness. To date, however, the author points out, all the current "panic attacks" have proven to be unfounded; the economy [...]

Price Earnings Ratios as gumball machine | Sheaff Brock Investment Advisors

The P/E Might Well Prove Mightier than the Pessimism

The price earnings ratio, known as the p/e ratio for short, is a useful way to evaluate the attractiveness of a company's stock price compared to its current earnings per share. If a company is reporting earnings per share of $2, and the stock is selling for $20 per share, the p/e ratio is 10. “One potential way to know when a sector or industry is overpriced is when the average p/e ratio of all of the companies in that [...]

Sheaff Brock | Economic indicators looking up | thumbs up

Following the Lead—Economic Indicators Point Upwards

The economy, like the scenery on a car trip, can be viewed through the windshield, the rearview mirror, or the side window, Investopedia explains. Leading indicators are pieces of data which economists see as they look through “the windshield” at the economy, using those indicators to help predict the future direction of the markets. Examples of economic indicators include: current stock prices stock futures bond and mortgage interest rates the yield curve foreign exchange rates commodity prices (gold, grains, oil, [...]