Tag - Strategas Research

Sheaff Brock | Pre-Election Investment Plan Based on Historical Data Since the 1930s

If-Then Investment Planning Prior to an Election

In classical logic, a connection is made between two statements, implying that if P (the proposition) is true, then Q (the next statement) is also true. If Sarah works overtime, she’ll be paid time-and-a-half. If I study, then I’ll get good grades. If I get good grades, then I’ll get into a good college. You get the idea—If statement #1, a given fact, is true, then statement #2 is a new fact that may be deduced from statement #1. Just [...]

Market Effects of Midterm Elections | Sheaff Brock Perspective

Market Effects of Midterm Elections

“A quick look at historical performance shows that stocks often see rough sledding in the September of years that feature midterm elections,” MarketWatch comments, adding that it was not “clear that the midterm congressional elections on Nov. 6 … would be enough to derail the bull market.” One thing that has characterized midterm seasons, Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath notes, is greater stock price volatility. In fact, he notes, midterm years have been more volatile than the average. The [...]

Graphic depiction of the Yield Curve | Sheaff Brock

What’s All This About the Yield Curve?

“The yield curve is not indicating a recession,” the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center concluded. True, interest rates have begun to inch up, “flattening” the curve. Still, as Sheaff Brock Managing Director Dave Gilreath explains in April’s Knowledge Builder webinar, rates do not appear to be heading towards an “inverted yield curve” (in which short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, a situation that historically has come before a recession). According to Strategas Research, rates “should still be upward [...]